How I Think We’ll Discover Alien Life on Other Planets

September 25th, 2008

This is my opinion.   I like to think it’s well-informed as an astronomer and science fiction novelist who spends way too much time thinking about such issues, but the fact is we’re too ignorant on this topic to speak with a lot of authority.

If nothing is there, we won’t find anything, for instance.

But let me tell you how we can be pretty sure of identifying life-bearing worlds if they’re not too uncommon, and how we can do it within our lifetimes, or sooner.

Life changes things.   Oxygen in atmospheres should not be common without life.   It may or may not be life as we know it, but oxygen is a pretty handy molecule for life to exploit and produce, even if it’s poison to creatures that develop in reducing atmospheres.   Change the environment, life evolves.

So, an oxygen atmosphere is a sign of life.   Not necessarily intelligent life.

Next step is to continue finding exoplanets, especially eclipsing exoplanets.   Surveys are underway.   The signal from an Earthlike body will be less than a percent, and it would be nice to identify some systems having larger planets eclipsing, too, first.

Then we make a more difficult observation: spectroscopy.   Molecular oxygen has very strong absorption at around 582 nm and 786 nm (I’ve even seen it in spectra taken inside a telescope dome looking through very little air).

If we see those absorption bands, which we seen in ground-based spectra and label “telluric” (from the Earth), then we know we’ve found something.   I bet the next step is a giant interferometer in space to image the sucker.   Lights on the nightside would be likely proof of intelligent/civilized life.

This technology and plan is all feasible and the timescale is decades, given the will and the money.

If Earthlike planets with life are common enough, it will even work, although it will take some luck to find observable systems and pull it off.

And I remember not so long ago when I was in grad school that the existence of exoplanets was a big question mark.   I may live long enough to have this fundamental question, is there alien life in the universe, answered.

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