The End of Books?

January 23rd, 2009

I’m not exactly talking about ebooks or transitions of technology.   I’m talking about Larry McMurtry’s contention that we may be living in the twilight of the novel.   (Note that he happens to be giving his talk on this topic, ironically perhaps, at Rice University where I literally read hundreds of novels as an undergraduate in the late 1980s.)

McMurtry is a great writer, author of the awesome Pulitzer-Prize winning Lonesome Dove, the Oscar-winning screenplay for Brokeback Mountain, among many other memorable stories.   From the article:

Q: What will you talk about at Rice?

A: The end of the culture of the book. I’m pessimistic. Mainly it’s the flow of people into my bookshop in Archer City. They’re almost always people over 40.

I don’t see kids, and I don’t see kids reading. I think little kids love to have stories read to them, but when they get to 10 or 11 or 12, they run into this tsunami of technology: iPod, iPhone, Blackberries.

They don’t resist it, and it’s normal that they wouldn’t; it’s their culture. I’m not so sure they ever come back to reading. Some will, but most won’t.

On the flipside, my friend Laura Mixon emailed this to me a few weeks ago:

Here is a recent NEA survey with very promising news: reading has seen a real resurgence in the past eight years. Especially fiction, and especially among the young. They’re calling it the “Harry Potter effect.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/12/books/12reading.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/01/11/AR2009011102337.html

The report itself breaks down the demographics, including by ethnicity, age, and gender. A must read (PDF file):

http://www.arts.gov/research/ReadingonRise.pdf

Hmm.   Has McMurtry heard of Harry Potter?   Kids ARE reading.   I don’t see them poking around smelly old used bookstores now or any time in my life in significant numbers.   The report highlights big growth among 18-24 year olds, the ones McMurtry also doesn’t see in his used bookstore.   Maybe that’s because they prefer to go to the Barnes and Noble where they can have a latte, or just order books over the internet.   The report also highlights reading dips in the past associated with other forms of entertainment that have become available with new technology.

There are some real issues in here, but McMurtry appears not to have done his research on this topic.   Book sales haven’t crashed and the rates of book reading are up across the board right now.   There’s certainly competition for our leisure time, more so than ever before, but the demise of book culture doesn’t seem to be hovering in the near future.   Maybe the in-store used book culture.   A lot of younger people are reading stories and books online and don’t necessarily have to even pick up a physical object called “a book.”   They’re still reading fiction, however.

(An aside.   When I first released Star Dragon for free online several years ago, I received an email about eight hours later from a new fan who told me how much he had enjoyed it.   He went on to explain that he never bought books anymore and did almost all of his reading on the computer, I think in an effort to make it clear that he’d never have read my story if I hadn’t have put it online, and certainly never would have bought it.   The whole electronic distribution and copyright thing is a discussion for another day.)

McMurtry seems to be seeing the “graying” of the used book customer, perhaps in a similar way that we see the sf fandom community graying.   It’s a cultural change, certainly, but not I think the end of novels or of science fiction in particular.   However the NEA study did note this about genres:

A new question on the 2008 Survey of Public Participation in the Arts allows reporting of the reading preferences of adults who said they read novels and/or short stories. Presented with the following genres—“mysteries,” “thrillers,” “romance,” “science fiction,” and “other fiction”— 53.0 percent of novel and/or short story readers said they enjoy reading mysteries. The next greatest percentage (40.8 percent) went to “other fiction,” while thrillers were the third most popular (32.6 percent), followed by romance (28.5 percent) and science fiction (25.4 percent).

Last?   Well, being down there with romance isn’t so bad given sales in that category.   The missing variable is how many people with the different genre preferences pick up more than a book a year.

The experience of reading a great novel is still very powerful today, for every generation, even with other entertainment options, and there continue to be wonderful books out there to choose from.   I don’t think I’m wrong about this.   Call me optimist to McMurtry’s pessimist, perhaps, but I’ve got the data on my side.

(I also noticed that Nancy Kress has a recent blog post addressing some of these issues, too.)

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